Critical Stage III Drought likely by early March

Drought Status: Alarm Stage II
Barton Springs: 21.8 cfs (10-day average)
Lovelady well: 464.5 ft-msl

Today district staff measured discharge to be 20.13 cfs at Barton Springs. Based on the rating curve for Barton Springs, it is likely that the 10-day flow average will drop below the 20 cfs threshold for declaring a Stage III Critical  drought before the end of February or in the first few days of March. The subsequent drought declaration could potentially be made made by the district's board at their meeting on March 7.